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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı

Kayserispor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Kocaman (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (6'), Kadioglu (67')
Szalai (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kayserispor 1-2 Fenerbahce

Despite the recent uptick in home results, the broader inspection of the outcome of Kayserispor's games in Kayseri does not inspire much confidence in their ability to end Fener's unbeaten streak. The visitors are unbeaten since their 3-0 thrashing by title rivals Galatasaray and five without defeat is expected to become six without losing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
23.11% (-0.155 -0.16) 21.62% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 55.27% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.41% (0.074999999999996 0.07)37.59% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)59.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.41% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.102 -0.1)65.4% (0.101 0.1)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.176 0.18)40.72% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 23.11%
    Fenerbahce 55.27%
    Draw 21.62%
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Giresunspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-0 Istanbul
Thursday, February 2 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-4 Kayserispor
Sunday, January 29 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-2 Besiktas
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 4-1 Sivasspor
Friday, January 13 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, February 2 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, January 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 15 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, January 8 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig


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