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Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Oct 31, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio AXA
VD

Braga
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Niakate (22'), Bruma (75' pen.)
Ferreira (41'), Zalazar (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Santos (10')
Handel (13'), Charles (18'), Borevkovic (45'), Villanueva (63'), Oliveira Baio (77')
Borevkovic (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-1 Guimaraes (Guimaraes win on pens)

Braga have only won two of their last five home games against Guimaraes, and lost against them here last month, so it is set to be a close encounter at the Quarry. Facing the holders to begin your campaign is never favourable, but the visitors will feel they are certainly capable of making it to the semi-finals of a competition where they have frequently underperformed, given their strong cup form so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
50.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.83% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 25.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (-0.182 -0.18)45.57% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (-0.172 -0.17)67.89% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)17.92% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.169 -0.17)48.73% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)32.01% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)68.48% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 50.95%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.22%
    Draw 23.82%
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: 1e Dezembro 1-2 Braga
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Braga
Sunday, October 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, September 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-2 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 19 at 4.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Celje
Wednesday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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