Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
