Rio Ave's run of clean sheets and Victor's goalscoring form means the third-tier visitors should find the back of the net against the Liga outfit.
However, the top-flight team are backed to make the most of their superior technical quality to secure a first semi-final berth since 2016.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Sao Joao Ver had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sao Joao Ver win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
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