Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Veres had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Veres win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Veres | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
21.29% ( 0.04) | 21.52% ( -0.04) | 57.18% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% ( 0.24) | 39.44% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% ( 0.25) | 61.79% ( -0.25) |
Veres Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( 0.17) | 32.04% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( 0.2) | 68.51% ( -0.2) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% ( 0.08) | 13.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.21% ( 0.16) | 40.78% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Veres | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.29% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.87% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.18% |
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