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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
P

Cerro
0 - 5
Penarol


Alvarez (45+1')
Peralta Bauer (30')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batista (2', 15', 62'), Babi (80', 90+1')
Suarez (54'), Rossi (77')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawPenarol
22.93% (-0.377 -0.38) 27.52% (-0.012 -0.01) 49.55% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 42.84% (-0.334 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.61% (-0.231 -0.23)61.39% (0.232 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.72% (-0.172 -0.17)81.28% (0.172 0.17)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.12% (-0.506 -0.51)42.88% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (-0.43 -0.43)79.19% (0.431 0.43)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.11 0.11)59.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 22.93%
    Penarol 49.55%
    Draw 27.51%
CerroDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.33% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.93%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 14.86% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 10.3% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 49.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Defensor
Saturday, September 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Cerro
Friday, August 16 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 4-1 Rampla
Sunday, July 28 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Cerro
Sunday, July 21 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, July 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 4-0 Rampla
Saturday, September 14 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, September 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Penarol
Wednesday, August 21 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 17 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 4-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, August 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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