SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 39.19%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 30.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
30.16% ( 0) | 30.66% | 39.19% |
| Both teams to score 39.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.44% ( 0.01) | 67.56% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.36% ( 0) | 85.64% ( -0) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0) | 40.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( 0) | 76.68% ( -0) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( 0) | 33.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( 0) | 70.33% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.4% Total : 30.16% | 0-0 @ 13.48% 1-1 @ 13.43% 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.65% | 0-1 @ 14.67% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.19% |
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