Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rentistas would win this match.