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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
41.45% ( -0.09) | 27.58% ( -0.02) | 30.97% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.09) | 57.43% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( 0.07) | 78.23% ( -0.07) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( -0) | 27.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( -0) | 62.71% ( 0.01) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.12) | 33.85% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% ( 0.13) | 70.51% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.97% |
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