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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
45.7% ( -0.75) | 27.55% ( 0.2) | 26.75% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( -0.37) | 59.09% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( -0.29) | 79.54% ( 0.29) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.54) | 25.83% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( -0.73) | 60.8% ( 0.73) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( 0.27) | 38.06% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( 0.26) | 74.83% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.69% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.75% |
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