Nacional
1 - 1
Penarol

Bergessio (33')
Suarez (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Terans (81')
Alvarez (90')
Britos (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Penarol
43.94%	27.25%	28.81%

Both teams to score 48.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.99%

57.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.09%

77.91%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23%

25.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28%

60.72%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75%

35.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99%

72.01%

Score Analysis

Nacional 43.93%

Penarol 28.81%

Draw 27.25%

Nacional	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.81%