Penarol
1 - 1
Villa Espanola

Alvarez (58')
Freitas (27'), Alvarez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (90+3')
Albin (39'), Lopez (53'), Ghan (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Villa Espanola.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Villa Espanola
55.94%	24.53%	19.53%

Both teams to score 46.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68%

54.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29%

75.71%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67%

19.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9%

51.1%

Villa Espanola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.63%

42.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.25%

78.75%

Score Analysis

Penarol 55.93%

Villa Espanola 19.53%

Draw 24.52%

Penarol	Draw	Villa Espanola
1-0 @ 13.45% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 5.2% 4-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.93%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.53%