SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 39.92%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.34%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro |
39.92% ( 0.01) | 31.17% ( 0) | 28.91% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.75% ( -0.01) | 69.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.25% ( -0.01) | 86.75% ( 0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0) | 34.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% | 70.83% ( 0) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.02) | 42.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( -0.02) | 78.46% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.18% 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.92% | 0-0 @ 14.34% 1-1 @ 13.36% 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.16% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.91% |
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