SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 42.83%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | River Plate |
42.83% ( -0.01) | 29.09% ( -0) | 28.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0.01) | 63.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.16% ( 0.01) | 82.83% ( -0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -0) | 29.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( -0) | 65.44% ( 0) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.59% ( 0.02) | 39.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.89% ( 0.02) | 76.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.07% |
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