SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boston River |
30.16% ( -0.02) | 27.37% ( 0.04) | 42.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.07% ( -0.15) | 56.93% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.16% ( -0.12) | 77.84% ( 0.12) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.1) | 34.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( -0.11) | 70.88% ( 0.11) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.08) | 26.5% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( -0.11) | 61.69% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.47% |
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