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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

Reed (54'), Bradford (90+4')
Jones (42'), (87'), (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fawcett (82')
Watts (24')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
29.51%23.06%47.43%
Both teams to score 62.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19%38.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88%61.13%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79%60.21%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31%16.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43%46.57%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 29.51%
    Haverfordwest County 47.43%
    Draw 23.05%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.13%
1-0 @ 5.81%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.51%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.56%
0-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.81%
1-4 @ 2.49%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 47.43%

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