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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff MU
1 - 2
Connah's Quay

Rees (42')
Rees (45'), Warwick (74'), Evans (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Farquharson (77'), Curran (88')
Disney (20'), Dool (24'), Brass (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
20.21%24.27%55.52%
Both teams to score 48.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79%77.21%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18%18.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74%50.26%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 20.21%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.51%
    Draw 24.27%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.89%
2-1 @ 5.18%
2-0 @ 3.1%
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.21%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 12.76%
0-2 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.61%
0-3 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.51%


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