Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.