Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.