Nigeria showed in their tournament opener that they have the capability to compete with some of the best teams in the world, but we think that they will be edged out by an Australian side that will be spurred on by their home support.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 81.13%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.82%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
-0.1) 
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