SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Colombia |
27.08% ( -0.46) | 28.71% ( 0.28) | 44.21% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.24% ( -1.09) | 62.75% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.71% ( -0.8) | 82.28% ( 0.8) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( -1) | 39.83% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( -0.93) | 76.5% ( 0.93) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( -0.43) | 28.32% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( -0.54) | 64.05% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 14.23% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.6% Total : 44.21% |
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