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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 9, 2021 at 2am UK
 
JN

Costa Rica
1 - 1
Jamaica

Marin (3')
Ruiz (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (47')
Burke (45+2'), Lowe (83'), Turgott (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawJamaica
42.34%23.72%33.94%
Both teams to score 61.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6%62.4%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07%50.93%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69%57.31%
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 42.34%
    Jamaica 33.94%
    Draw 23.71%
Costa RicaDrawJamaica
2-1 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.94%

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