Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.08%) and 0-3 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.06%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.