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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
NN

Gibraltar
0 - 7
Netherlands


Ronan (31'), De Barr (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berghuis (42'), de Jong (55'), Depay (61', 88'), Wijnaldum (62'), Malen (64'), van de Beek (85')
Klaassen (38'), Gravenberch (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.08%) and 0-3 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.06%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawNetherlands
10.28%22.61%67.11%
Both teams to score 32.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.76%62.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.09%81.91%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.13%60.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.91%91.09%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82%49.17%
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 10.28%
    Netherlands 67.1%
    Draw 22.6%
GibraltarDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 5.49%
2-1 @ 2.33%
2-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 10.28%
0-0 @ 11.06%
1-1 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 18.86%
0-2 @ 16.08%
0-3 @ 9.14%
1-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-4 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 1.93%
0-5 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 67.1%

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