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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
UN

Guinea
2 - 1
Uganda

Camara (10'), Cisse (90+4')
Guilavogui (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bayo (30')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Guinea 2-1 Uganda

Guinea and Uganda head into the weekend in contrasting form, with Put's men losing four of their last five matches across all competitions. The Syli National have named a strong squad for the qualifiers and we fancy them to outclass the Cranes in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guinea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
GuineaDrawUganda
53.52% (-0.604 -0.6) 30.78% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 15.7% (0.659 0.66)
Both teams to score 28.14% (0.936 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.87% (0.603 0.6)75.13% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.65% (0.344 0.34)90.34% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)29.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.09% (1.316 1.32)59.9% (-1.314 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.4% (0.661 0.66)90.6% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 53.51%
    Uganda 15.7%
    Draw 30.77%
GuineaDrawUganda
1-0 @ 21.61% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 13.07% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.51%
0-0 @ 17.86% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 1.72% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 30.77%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Egypt
Wednesday, June 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-3 Guinea
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Uganda
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 0-2 Uganda
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Uganda
Wednesday, June 14 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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