SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Turkmenistan |
62.9% ( -0) | 20.8% ( 0) | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0.01) | 44.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( -0.01) | 66.46% ( 0.01) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( -0) | 13.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.68% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0.01) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0) | 40.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.2% ( -0) | 76.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 3% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.8% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 12 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Everton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 5 |
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