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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 25, 2022 at 1.05am UK
 
HN

Panama
1 - 1
Honduras

Blackburn (23')
Waterman Ruiz (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopez (65')
Arriaga (11'), Decas (44'), Sacaza (70'), Maldonado (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 1-0 Honduras

The Hondurans have nothing but pride to play for at this stage, so we expect to see more urgency from Panama, who know the importance of winning this match with the standings so close. La Marea Roja have more organisation and balance in their team than La H, and they have not lost a game on their home soil since a 3-0 defeat to Mexico in the 2019 CONCACAF Nations League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawHonduras
53.94%25.54%20.52%
Both teams to score 45.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12%56.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2%77.8%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01%53.99%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.23%42.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91%79.1%
Score Analysis
    Panama 53.93%
    Honduras 20.52%
    Draw 25.54%
PanamaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 14.05%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 4.8%
4-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 53.93%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Thursday, February 3 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Jamaica
Sunday, January 30 at 10.05pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-0 Panama
Friday, January 28 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Panama
Sunday, January 16 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Panama 2-1 El Salvador
Wednesday, November 17 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 2-3 Panama
Saturday, November 13 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: USA 3-0 Honduras
Thursday, February 3 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 El Salvador
Monday, January 31 at 12.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 Canada
Friday, January 28 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Honduras
Sunday, January 16 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Honduras
Wednesday, November 17 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 2-3 Panama
Saturday, November 13 at 1.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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