Despite the difference in positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture. Nevertheless, while we expect Oman to raise their level with the stakes so high, Saudi Arabia's superior quality should shine through in the crucial moments.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Oman had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
