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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Petrol
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Slovenia
1 - 2
Russia

Ilicic (40')
Sporar (1'), Gnezda Cerin (27'), Verbic (51'), Bijol (77'), Rogelj (90+2'), Lovric (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Diveyev (28'), Dzhikiya (32')
Sutormin (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Russia had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Russia win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
SloveniaDrawRussia
43.57%26.19%30.24%
Both teams to score 51.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66%52.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97%74.03%
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93%58.07%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27%31.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85%68.16%
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 43.57%
    Russia 30.24%
    Draw 26.18%
SloveniaDrawRussia
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.24%

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