Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Argentina win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
