SM
Friday, November 8
Upcoming predictions and previews
Collect News Data

Preview: Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far

:Headline: Preview: Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far:
Sports Mole previews Sunday's US Open final between Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic, including predictions, head-to-head and their tournament so far.
Sports Mole

Two years on from crushing Novak Djokovic's dreams of a calendar-year Grand Slam, Daniil Medvedev will endeavour to make lightning strike twice in New York when he pits his wits against the new world number one in Sunday's mouthwatering US Open final.

The Russian ended Carlos Alcaraz's title defence in a four-set spectacular to reach the showpiece match, while Djokovic got the better of 20-year-old home favourite Ben Shelton to conclude the youngster's fairytale run.


Match preview

Medvedev memorably made no bones about the unforgiving New York climate during his quarter-final triumph over Andrey Rublev, but the third seed was the one bringing the heat during his final-four showdown with reigning champion Alcaraz, who succumbed to one of Medvedev's finest performances in recent memory.

So often renowned for his defensive mastery - particularly on hard courts - Medvedev proved equally adept in his offensive game against Alcaraz and upset the odds to prevail 7-6[3] 6-1 3-6 6-3 in front of the Arthur Ashe Stadium crowd, most of whom were evidently rooting for the Spaniard.

A first-set flurry of double faults threatened to derail Medvedev's aspirations of Flushing Meadows glory, but the 27-year-old's accuracy was unparalleled throughout the contest, and there was no quelling the Russian juggernaut once the early nerves had been settled.

Firing 10 aces compared to zero for a slightly off-colour Alcaraz, Medvedev advanced to a record-breaking fifth Grand Slam final - no Russian man before him had ever reached so many in the Open Era - and few will forget his maiden major triumph on American soil two years ago.

With runners-up finishes at the 2021 and 2022 Australian Opens also on his CV, Medvedev enters Sunday's final with an eye-catching 80.6% win rate on hard courts throughout his career, although his upcoming foe is also well-versed in silencing the Arthur Ashe crowd as he bids to write yet another page of history.

There were no prizes for guessing whose side the 23,000-strong audience was on when Shelton and Djokovic clashed racquets in Friday's first semi-final, as the American protege asked questions of the Serbian's exemplary return play with an array of blistering serves and groundstrokes.

Shelton proved too hot to handle on a couple of occasions and earned two breaks against the 23-time Grand Slam winner - including when Djokovic was serving for the match - while he also pegged his more esteemed opponent back to 5-4 from a 5-1 deficit in the tie-breaker.

However, the youngster's powers inevitably waned as he netted a forehand for the last time to send Djokovic through to the final 6-3 6-2 7-6[4] in two hours and 41 minutes, and a rather terse exchange at the net followed after Djokovic had mimicked Shelton's celebration.

Still possessing the mentality monster tag, five of Djokovic's six victories so far at the 2023 US Open have been in straight sets - the outlier being a five-set slog versus compatriot Laslo Djere, where he came from two sets down to prevail - and a 10th Flushing Meadows final is now on the agenda for the returning world number one.

Winning US Open title number four would be a fitting way for Djokovic to celebrate his coronation at the top of the charts, and the 36-year-old has now reached the final in all four major events this year. Unlike in 2021, a calendar-year Grand Slam is off the cards this time around, but Djokovic needs no further encouragement to avenge that beating and join all-time record holder Margaret Court in the exclusive 24 major titles club.


Tournament so far

Daniil Medvedev:

First round: vs. Attila Balazs 6-1 6-1 6-0
Second round: vs. Christopher O'Connell 6-2 6-2 6-7[6] 6-2
Third round: vs. Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-2 7-6[6]
Round of 16: vs. Alex de Minaur 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
Quarter-final: vs. Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-3 6-4
Semi-final: vs. Carlos Alcaraz 7-6[3] 6-1 3-6 6-3

Novak Djokovic:

First round: vs. Alexandre Muller 6-0 6-2 6-3
Second round: vs. Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 6-1 6-1
Third round: vs. Laslo Djere 4-6 4-6 6-1 6-1 6-3
Round of 16: vs. Borna Gojo 6-2 7-5 6-4
Quarter-final: vs. Taylor Fritz 6-1 6-4 6-4
Semi-final: vs. Ben Shelton 6-3 6-2 7-6[4]


Head To Head

Davis Cup (2017) - Round-robin: Djokovic wins 3-6 6-4 6-1 1-0 ret
Eastbourne International (2017) - Semi-final: Djokovic wins 6-4 6-4
Australian Open (2019) - Fourth round: Djokovic wins 6-4 6-7[5] 6-2 6-3
Monte Carlo Masters (2019) - Quarter-final: Medvedev wins 6-3 4-6 6-2
Cincinnati Masters (2019) - Semi-final: Medvedev wins 3-6 6-3 6-3
ATP Cup (2020) - Semi-final: Djokovic wins 6-1 5-7 6-4
ATP Finals (2020) - Round-robin: Medvedev wins 6-3 6-3
Australian Open (2021) - Final: Djokovic wins 7-5 6-2 6-2
US Open (2021) - Final: Medvedev wins 6-4 6-4 6-4
Paris Masters (2021) - Final: Djokovic wins 4-6 6-3 6-3
Astana Open (2022) - Semi-final: Djokovic wins 4-6 7-6 ret.
ATP Finals (2022) - Round-robin: Djokovic wins 6-3 6-7[5] 7-6[2]
Adelaide International (2023) - Semi-final: Djokovic wins 6-3 6-4
Dubai Tennis Championships (2023) - Semi-final: Medvedev wins 6-4 6-4

Medvedev and Djokovic may very well be sick of the sight of one another by now, having met 14 times down the years at the top level, and the Serbian leads the head-to-head tally with nine wins to the Russian's five.

However, one of Medvedev's five victories over the 23-time major winner came in straight sets during the final of the 2021 US Open - where he won his maiden Grand Slam title - and their captivating rivalry that year also saw Djokovic defeat the 27-year-old in the Australian Open final and Paris Masters showpiece match.

The latter success marked the start of a four-match winning streak for Djokovic against Medvedev, but the third seed prevailed 6-4 6-4 in the most recent meeting during the semi-finals of this year's Dubai Tennis Championships, before going on to sink compatriot Rublev in the final.


We say: Djokovic to win in five sets

Nothing less than a perfect match will do for Medvedev if he is to hoist the trophy aloft once more, but having sent Alcaraz packing with one of his best displays on the tour yet, few should be counting the Russian out on his favoured hard surface.

Medvedev's defensive excellence and Djokovic's returning prowess could lead to some magnificent baseline rallies, and neither man's mental fortitude can be called into question either.

However, Djokovic will have had a few more hours to recover from his semi-final exertions, and with the 36-year-old still looking as sharp as ever physically, we give him the edge to win Grand Slam title number 24, but only just.


body check tags ::

Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


amp_article__523620 : Collect and Make Data not in DataBase  : 
last updated article - 2023-09-09 12:38:34:
html db last update - 2023-09-09 12:38:34 :

ex - 7200 : read : write cache and make html
Share this article now:


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!
Recommended Next on SM
Medvedev stuns Alcaraz to set up US Open final with Djokovic
Amad to the rescue: Ivorian stars as Man United beat PAOK in Europa League
Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
Scroll for more - Tap for full version


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.

history www

Felix, Nkunku net brace as Chelsea run rampant in demolition of FC Noah

1

FN

Messi MVP quest continues, but will Busquets play? Inter Miami predicted XI vs. Atlanta

2

MM

Neymar seeking Saudi exit in favour of return to former club?

3

NS

Dyche 'leaves door open' for Branthwaite exit amid Man United links

4

D'

Have Palmer, Rice made the cut? Lee Carsley's final England squad revealed!

5

HP

Amad to the rescue: Ivorian stars as Man United beat PAOK in Europa League

6

AT

Preview: Crystal Palace vs. Fulham - prediction, team news, lineups

7

PC

Premier League return? Man United 'eyeing' move for Bayern forward

8

PL

Preview: Inter Miami vs. Atlanta - prediction, team news, lineups

9

PI

Preview: Qinwen Zheng vs. Barbora Krejcikova - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far

10

PQ


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .