SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Leuven |
53.36% ( 0.51) | 23.2% ( 0.02) | 23.45% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( -0.62) | 44.5% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( -0.6) | 66.87% ( 0.61) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.04) | 16.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.52% ( -0.08) | 46.48% ( 0.08) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.79) | 32.93% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.89) | 69.51% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Leuven |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.36% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.45% |
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