Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.01% (![]() | 22.12% (![]() | 25.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.9% (![]() | 37.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.7% (![]() | 59.29% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% (![]() | 14.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.57% (![]() | 42.43% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% (![]() | 27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% (![]() | 62.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 4.35% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 25.87% |
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