Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | FC Koln |
56% (![]() | 21.64% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.35% (![]() | 38.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.05% (![]() | 60.94% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% (![]() | 13.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.02% (![]() | 40.98% (![]() |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% (![]() | 30.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% (![]() | 66.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.36% |
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