Leipzig have conceded one goal in their last six Bundesliga games at Red Bull Arena, scored by Dortmund's Jadon Sancho at the backend of April, a game the Red Bulls won 4-1. Despite securing Champions League football, Rose should expect his in-form side to claim maximum points to continue their unbeaten results since losing to Bayern in February.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.07) 
