SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
37.36% ( 1.74) | 24.77% ( 0.59) | 37.87% ( -2.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% ( -2.69) | 44.55% ( 2.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.08% ( -2.66) | 66.92% ( 2.66) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.3) | 23.57% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -0.43) | 57.63% ( 0.43) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( -2.34) | 23.3% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( -3.54) | 57.25% ( 3.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.83)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.61)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.87% |
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