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Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
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Arsenal
2 - 2
Bayern

Saka (12'), Trossard (76')
Partey (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gnabry (18'), Kane (32' pen.)
Davies (9'), Kane (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawBayern Munich
42.88% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.39%33.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 63.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.79%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)22.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 42.88%
    Bayern Munich 33.73%
    Draw 23.39%
ArsenalDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 42.88%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 33.73%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Arsenal
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Porto (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-6 Arsenal
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Bayern
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Lazio
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 Bayern
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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