SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.36%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.58% ( 0.04) | 22.13% ( 0.02) | 36.28% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 68.61% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.13) | 31.54% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.97% ( -0.16) | 53.03% ( 0.16) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( -0.04) | 16.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.59% ( -0.08) | 45.41% ( 0.08) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.09) | 18.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -0.15) | 49.33% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.28% |
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