SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Young Boys |
45.1% ( 1.75) | 21.97% ( -0.35) | 32.94% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 68.2% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.32% ( 1.27) | 31.68% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.81% ( 1.48) | 53.19% ( -1.47) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.19% ( 1.14) | 14.81% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.91% ( 2.13) | 43.09% ( -2.12) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( -0.11) | 19.95% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( -0.18) | 52.11% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.14)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.4% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.94% |
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