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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
ML

Barcelona
1 - 0
Mallorca

Yamal (73')
Martinez (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Samu (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Mallorca

Mallorca are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Barcelona, and we are expecting Friday's clash to be close in terms of the scoreline. Barcelona need to win to stay in the title picture, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawMallorca
73.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 16.74% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 10.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.38% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)40.44% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)62.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)9.61% (0.004900000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.87% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)32.12% (0.012 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.42% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)47.57% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.08% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)82.92% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 73.17%
    Mallorca 10.08%
    Draw 16.74%
BarcelonaDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 12.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 73.17%
1-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.74%
0-1 @ 3.4%
1-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Getafe
Saturday, February 24 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Granada
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-3 Barcelona
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Mallorca (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, February 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, February 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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