Almeria will certainly have gained confidence from their success over Rayo last time out, but this is a different test entirely, with Real Betis pushing for the top six, and we are expecting a routine home success for Pellegrini's side on Sunday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
0.59) 
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