Atletico are flying at the moment, and we are backing them to post a fifth straight league win over Celta this weekend. Simeone's side recorded a 1-0 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring on Saturday, which would make it six wins in a row for Atletico in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
