Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
0.97) 
-0.22) 
