Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.
-3.52) 
0.87) 
