SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
53.09% ( -0.26) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 24.35% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.16) | 40.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.16) | 63.07% ( 0.16) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( -0.15) | 15.37% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( -0.27) | 44.14% ( 0.27) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.07) | 30.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( 0.08) | 66.23% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.09% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.35% |
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