Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
48.76% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() | 26.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% (![]() | 47.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% (![]() | 70.02% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% (![]() | 19.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% (![]() | 51.65% (![]() |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% (![]() | 32.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.43% (![]() | 68.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 10.26% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.76% | 1-1 @ 11.66% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: