SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
38.71% ( -0.07) | 26.28% ( -0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.05) | 51.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( 0.04) | 73.27% ( -0.04) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.02) | 26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.02) | 61.03% ( 0.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.07) | 28.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( 0.09) | 63.82% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.01% |
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