Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
53.83% ( -0.03) | 23.77% ( 0.03) | 22.39% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.9% ( -0.12) | 48.1% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.74% ( -0.11) | 70.26% ( 0.11) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.22% ( -0.05) | 17.78% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.51% ( -0.1) | 48.49% ( 0.1) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% ( -0.06) | 35.88% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% ( -0.06) | 72.66% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.82% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.4% |
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