Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
23.83% (![]() | 24.33% (![]() | 51.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% (![]() | 48.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% (![]() | 71.07% (![]() |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% (![]() | 35.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% (![]() | 71.8% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% (![]() | 18.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.65% (![]() | 50.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 6.94% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 11.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.84% |
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