Frosinone are chasing their longest unbeaten run in Serie A, and they could achieve that against an Empoli side that have lost three of their recent five meetings with the Canaries, including the reverse fixture.
Nevertheless, Empoli's current undefeated run at the Castellani should continue on Sunday, even if maximum points may not be secured.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.51) 
-0.72) 
