SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
34.16% ( 0.57) | 25.55% ( -0.03) | 40.29% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( 0.26) | 48.45% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( 0.24) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( 0.47) | 27.21% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( 0.61) | 62.62% ( -0.61) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( -0.15) | 23.8% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.04% ( -0.22) | 57.96% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.29% |
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